AMGEN OUTLINES GROWTH STRATEGY THROUGH 2030 AT VIRTUAL BUSINESS REVIEW
02.08.2022
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"Our strategy of delivering innovative medicines to address significant areas of unmet need has served us well over the past decade and remains our
Strategy for Delivering Long-Term Growth
During the meeting, Bradway stated that the Company's strategy remains focused on delivering innovative medicines that make a significant difference for patients around the world suffering from serious diseases – whether those medicines are discovered internally or sourced externally. He added that demand for new medicines is being fueled by a rapidly aging global population at the same time that advances in science and technology are significantly enhancing the ability of companies like
Bradway said that many products in the Company's broad portfolio are poised for continued growth, and that an increasing percentage of product sales will come from outside the
"We have all the pieces in place that we need to succeed," Bradway said. "Our job now is to execute."
Griffith outlined long-term financial guidance for 2022-2030:
- Revenue Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in the mid-single digits;
- Non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 50% of product sales;
- Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) CAGR in the high-single digits to low double-digits
Griffith described the Company's multiple levers to deliver revenue and earnings growth over the decade, and outlined the Company's efficient operating model, which will enable the Company to maintain industry-leading operating margins despite a declining net price environment.
Griffith said that
Griffith indicated it is the Company's plan to return, on average, approximately 60 percent of non-GAAP net income to shareholders through 2030, through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. Griffith highlighted how the Company has grown the dividend meaningfully each year since 2011 and plans for continued dividend growth over the long term. Griffith then discussed the Company's 2022 share repurchase plans of between
Griffith provided financial guidance for 2022:
- Revenues of
$25.4 to$26.5 billion - Non-GAAP EPS of
$17.00 to$18.00 - Non-GAAP tax rate of 13 to 14 percent; and
- Capital expenditures of approximately
$950 million .
Delivering Strong Revenue Growth Over the Decade
Sweeney discussed the Company's history of leadership and strong capabilities in the inflammation therapeutic area.
- Sweeney discussed the burden of disease caused by psoriasis and highlighted the positioning of Otezla® (apremilast) for sustained long-term growth. With its expanded label in
December 2021 , Otezla is now the first and only oral treatment approved in adult patients with plaque psoriasis across all severities, including mild, moderate and severe. This expanded label offers growth potential to reach approximately 1.5 million additional patients across the psoriasis continuum. Worldwide Otezla sales are expected to grow by low double-digits annually, on average, before itsU.S. loss of exclusivity. - Sweeney discussed TEZSPIRE™ (tezepelumab-ekko), which was approved by the
Food & Drug Administration (FDA) inDecember 2021 . TEZSPIRE is the first and only biologic for severe asthma that works at the top of the inflammation cascade and does not have a phenotype or biomarker limitation in the approved label, meaning it can reach a broad range of the more than two million patients around the world with severe uncontrolled asthma. - Sweeney highlighted
Amgen 's integrated biosimilars model, which positions the Company well to address the needs of payers, providers and patients when a new biosimilar is introduced. Sweeney discussed the Company's anticipatedU.S. launch of AMJEVITA™ onJanuary 31, 2023 , as well as the Company's sequential biosimilar launch opportunities. Phase 3 data for biosimilars to STELARA® (ustekinumab), SOLIRIS® (eculizumab), and EYLEA® (aflibercept) are expected in 2022;Amgen 's pipeline also includes three additional undisclosed biosimilar candidates. The Company expects its biosimilars revenues to more than double from 2021 to 2030.
Gordon then discussed the Company's growth drivers in oncology and general medicine.
Oncology
- Gordon highlighted the Company's global market leadership and industry-leading capabilities in oncology. The Company's innovative hematology-oncology portfolio generated a record
$5.7 billion of sales in 2021. This portfolio includes XGEVA® (denosumab), Kyprolis® (carfilzomib), Nplate® (romiplostim), Vectibix® (panitumumab), BLINCYTO® (blinatumomab), IMLYGIC® (talimogene laherparepvec) and LUMAKRAS® / LUMYKRAS® (sotorasib). Gordon highlighted the durable growth potential of multiple brands within this portfolio. - LUMAKRAS is the world's first and only KRAS G12C inhibitor approved to treat mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). It launched in the
U.S. in 2021 and is now approved in over 35 countries, including theU.S. , EU,Japan ,Canada andUK . The broad LUMAKRAS development program with both monotherapy and combination therapy regimens being investigated in NSCLC, as well as other solid tumors including colorectal cancer (CRC) and pancreatic cancer, has the potential to significantly expand the currently addressable patient population for LUMAKRAS.
General Medicine
- Prolia® (denosumab), the worldwide leader in osteoporosis, and EVENITY® (romosozumab-aqqg), a novel bone builder for high-risk patients, are complementary therapies. Prolia has reached over 10 million patients globally and EVENITY is now launched in over 25 markets. Gordon highlighted that the Company expects continued growth in Prolia through
U.S. loss of exclusivity. Low double-digit annual EVENITY sales growth, on average, is expected through 2030, addressing a significant unmet need in osteoporosis. - Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the world's leading cause of death, responsible for 1 out of every 3 deaths globally. Eighty-five percent of CVD deaths are due to heart attacks or strokes. Repatha® (evolocumab) is the world's leading proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) inhibitor and is uniquely positioned for durable growth in an area of significant need. It has reached approximately one million patients worldwide since its launch in 2015. Repatha surpassed
$1 billion of sales in 2021 and is expected to grow into a multi-billion-dollar franchise through 2030. Gordon highlighted Repatha's growing ex-U.S. presence, which includes National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL) formulary inclusion in China. Enrollment has now completed for the Repatha VESALIUS-VC Phase 3 study evaluating outcomes in patients with high cardiovascular risk without prior heart attack or stroke.
Reese went on to describe the Company's innovative mid- and late-stage portfolio which provides a significant opportunity for growth across all three core therapeutic areas.
Reese began the portfolio review by describing
- AMG 451, a potential first-in-class monoclonal antibody that targets OX40 resulting in the partial depletion of activated T-cells and inhibition of the T-cell activation cascade, is being investigated in atopic dermatitis. The Company plans to launch a comprehensive global Phase 3 development program by mid-2022 that will seek to establish safety and efficacy in a broad patient population of biologic-naive and biologic- or janus kinase (JAK)-experienced patients. The program will include a diverse ethnic population along with adolescent patients while exploring different dosing and treatment regimens.
- Efavaleukin alfa (formerly AMG 592) is a first-in-class interleukin-2 (IL-2) mutein Fc fusion protein being studied in autoimmune diseases. In a multiple ascending dose Phase 1b study, efavaleukin alfa demonstrated robust and prolonged dose-dependent Treg expansion, with minimal changes in other IL-2-responsive cells. These data support the ongoing Phase 2 studies for the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and ulcerative colitis.
- Rozibafusp alfa (formerly AMG 570) is a first-in-class bispecific antibody-peptide conjugate designed to uniquely disrupt T-cell and B-cell activity through a dual blockade of inducible T-cell costimulatory ligand (ICOSL) and B-cell activating factor (BAFF). A Phase 1 study demonstrated effective and dose dependent targeting of these pathways, providing the rationale for an ongoing Phase 2b study in SLE.
Reese then characterized
- Tarlatamab (formerly AMG 757), a first-in-class half-life extended BiTE® molecule targeting delta-like ligand 3 (DLL3), is being studied in patients with relapsed/refractory small cell lung cancer (SCLC) after two or more prior lines of treatment. Reese said SCLC is one of the most aggressive solid tumors, with approximately 70,000 addressable patients across major markets. He then presented updated data from a Phase 1 study in which tarlatamab demonstrated significant evidence of anti-tumor activity and a preliminary median duration of confirmed response >1 year. Based on the strength of the Phase 1 data, Reese said the Company is conducting a potential registration enabling Phase 2 study in third line patients and intends to investigate tarlatamab in earlier lines of therapy. Tarlatamab is also being investigated in a Phase 1 study in patients with neuro-endocrine prostate cancer, where targeting DLL3 may offer benefit to patients.
- Bemarituzumab, a first-in-class monoclonal antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor receptor 2b (FGFR2b), is being studied in gastric cancer, the fifth most common cancer worldwide and a malignancy that is particularly prevalent in Asia. Reese said
Amgen is currently conducting two Phase 3 studies with this molecule in gastric cancer and will investigate the potential of bemarituzumab in other cancers that express FGFR2b, including squamous NSCLC and various other solid tumors. - Acapatamab (formerly AMG 160), a half-life extended BiTE molecule, and AMG 340 (formerly TNB 585), a bispecific T-cell engager both targeting prostate specific membrane antigen (PSMA) are in Phase 1 clinical development for the treatment of patients with metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Informative data are anticipated in 2022.
- AMG 509, a T-cell engager targeting six-transmembrane epithelial antigen of prostate 1 (STEAP1), is being studied in prostate cancer. Reese presented new data demonstrating PSA declines in a number of patients with advanced prostate cancer in a Phase 1 study.
- AMG 193, a novel small molecule methylthioadenosine (MTA) cooperative protein arginine methyltransferase 5 (PRMT5) molecular glue that was identified using
Amgen 's proprietary DNA encoded library technology, recently initiated a Phase 1/1b/2 study as a monotherapy in patients with advanced solid tumors.
In the General Medicine therapeutic area, Reese indicated that
- Olpasiran,
Amgen 's first small interfering RNA (siRNA) targeting Lp(a), a genetic risk factor for cardiovascular disease that can't be modified by diet or exercise. Olpasiran generated strong Phase 1 data demonstrating profound and durable reductions in Lp(a) that was recently published in Nature Medicine and top-line Phase 2b data are expected in the first half of 2022, with a presentation at a medical congress anticipated in the second half of 2022. - AMG 133 is a first-in-class multispecific targeting key pathways involved in obesity and deranged metabolism through the antagonism of gastric inhibitory polypeptide receptor (GIPR) and agonism of glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor, an approach with strong human data driven validation. Reese presented Phase 1 data that demonstrated early clinical efficacy in obese patients, where dose dependent weight loss of up to ~8 kilograms was observed following a single dose of AMG 133 and that Phase 1 investigation of AMG 133 continues.
Reese concluded his remarks by providing an overview of
Beyond human data,
Operating Responsibly
During the meeting, Bradway also discussed the Company's long-standing commitment to achieve its mission of serving patients responsibly.
- Inspire the next generation of innovators through science education programs sponsored by the
Amgen Foundation 1 that will reach nearly 24 million students worldwide this year. - Help those who are unable to afford the medicines they need through the
Amgen Safety Net Foundation 1, which has provided approximately$6 billion 2 of our medicines at no cost over the past five years to qualifying patients. - Achieve carbon neutrality by 2027, along with a 40% reduction in water used and a 75% reduction in waste disposed.3
1 The
2 Valued at wholesale acquisition cost.
3 Reductions take into account only verified reduction projections, do not take into account changes associated with the contraction or expansion of the Company, and are measured against a 2019 baseline. Carbon neutrality goal refers to Scope 1 and 2.
Tezspire is being developed in collaboration with AstraZeneca
AMG 451 (also known as KHK4083) is being developed in collaboration with Kyowa Kirin
AMG 509 is being developed in collaboration with Xencor
STELARA® is a registered trademarks of
EYLEA® is a registered trademark of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
SOLIRIS® is a registered trademark of Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Webcast and Presentation
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About
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This news release contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations and beliefs of
No forward-looking statement can be guaranteed and actual results may differ materially from those we project. Our results may be affected by our ability to successfully market both new and existing products domestically and internationally, clinical and regulatory developments involving current and future products, sales growth of recently launched products, competition from other products including biosimilars, difficulties or delays in manufacturing our products and global economic conditions. In addition, sales of our products are affected by pricing pressure, political and public scrutiny and reimbursement policies imposed by third-party payers, including governments, private insurance plans and managed care providers and may be affected by regulatory, clinical and guideline developments and domestic and international trends toward managed care and healthcare cost containment. Furthermore, our research, testing, pricing, marketing and other operations are subject to extensive regulation by domestic and foreign government regulatory authorities. We or others could identify safety, side effects or manufacturing problems with our products, including our devices, after they are on the market. Our business may be impacted by government investigations, litigation and product liability claims. In addition, our business may be impacted by the adoption of new tax legislation or exposure to additional tax liabilities. If we fail to meet the compliance obligations in the corporate integrity agreement between us and the
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GAAP diluted EPS guidance |
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— |
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Known adjustments to arrive at non-GAAP*: |
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Acquisition-related expenses (a) |
3.87 |
— |
3.92 |
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Non-GAAP diluted EPS guidance |
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— |
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* The known adjustments are presented net of their related tax impact, which amount to approximately |
(a) The adjustments relate primarily to noncash amortization of intangible assets acquired in business acquisitions. |
Our GAAP diluted EPS guidance does not include the effect of GAAP adjustments triggered by events that may occur subsequent to this press release such as acquisitions, asset impairments, litigation, changes in the fair value of our contingent consideration and changes in fair value of our equity investments.
Reconciliation of GAAP Tax Rate Guidance to Non-GAAP |
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GAAP tax rate guidance |
10.0% |
— |
11.5% |
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Tax rate of known adjustments discussed above |
2.5% |
— |
3.0% |
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Non-GAAP tax rate guidance |
13.0% |
— |
14.0% |
Reconciliation of Future GAAP to Adjusted Financial Measures
Management has presented herein certain forward-looking statements about the Company's future financial performance that include non-GAAP net income, EPS, operating margin and income tax rate for various years through
- Expenses related to the acquisition of businesses, including amortization and / or impairment of acquired intangible assets, including in-process research and development, adjustments to contingent consideration, integration costs, severance and retention costs and transaction costs;
- Charges associated with restructuring or cost saving initiatives above certain thresholds, including but not limited to asset impairments, accelerated depreciation, severance costs and lease abandonment charges;
- Legal settlements or awards above certain thresholds;
- The tax effect of the above items; and
- Non-routine settlements with tax authorities.
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